Copa Sudamericana
Apr 22, 2021 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Gilberto Parada
  • Juan Mercado 22' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pascua 67' yellowcard
  • Fran Supayabe 80' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pascua 89' goal
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 8'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Herrera 24'
  • yellowcard Andres Roa 30'
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 35'
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 52'

Guabira vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guabira

All competitions

Independiente

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Guabira 43.25%
Draw 23.53%
Independiente 33.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.36%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.65%
Under 2.5 39.35%
Over 3.5 38.31%
Under 3.5 61.68%

Guabira Goals

Over 0.5 81.44%
Under 0.5 18.55%
Over 1.5 50.19%
Under 1.5 49.81%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 76.57%
Under 0.5 23.42%
Over 1.5 42.58%
Under 1.5 57.42%

Score analysis

Guabira 43.25%
Draw 23.52%
Independiente 33.22%
Guabira
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 43.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.52%
Independiente
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.22%