Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2021 11.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Thaciano 57' goal
  • d. O. Agular Junior D. 66' yellowcard
  • Danielzinho 78' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio da Silva Santos 82' goal
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 43'
  • goal Alan Velasco 51'
  • yellowcard Patricio Ostachuk 74'

Bahia vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 27, 2021 11.15pm
Bahia 5 - 0 Guabira

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 11.15pm
Independiente 3 - 1 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 39.98%
Draw 24.14%
Independiente 35.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.81%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.33%
Under 2.5 41.67%
Over 3.5 35.93%
Under 3.5 64.07%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 79.01%
Under 0.5 20.98%
Over 1.5 46.25%
Under 1.5 53.75%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 76.96%
Under 0.5 23.04%
Over 1.5 43.14%
Under 1.5 56.86%

Score analysis

Bahia 39.98%
Draw 24.14%
Independiente 35.88%
Bahia
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 39.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
Independiente
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.88%