Copa Sudamericana
May 6, 2021 11.15pm
8
0
HT : 6 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Luiz Fernando 3' goal
  • Luiz Fernando 18' goal
  • Diego Souza 21' goal
  • Ferreira 22' goal
  • Ferreira 24' goal
  • Gaston Fernandez 28' goal
  • Maicon Souza 64' goal
  • Diego Churin 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Yeguez 20'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvarez 56'

Gremio vs Aragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2021 1.30am
Lanus 1 - 2 Gremio

Aragua

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2021 1.30am
La Equidad 2 - 1 Aragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 48.69%
Draw 22.14%
Aragua 29.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 65.41%
Under 2.5 34.58%
Over 3.5 43.47%
Under 3.5 56.52%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 85.34%
Under 0.5 14.66%
Over 1.5 57.19%
Under 1.5 42.81%

Aragua Goals

Over 0.5 76.51%
Under 0.5 23.49%
Over 1.5 42.48%
Under 1.5 57.52%

Score analysis

Gremio 48.69%
Draw 22.14%
Aragua 29.17%
Gremio
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 2.82%
4-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 48.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 6.66%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.14%
Aragua
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.17%