Lanus
1 - 2
Gremio

Augusto dos Santos Pereira (34'), Belmonte (69'), Ferreira (86')
Thiago (29'), Perez (36'), Augusto dos Santos Pereira (44'), Quignon (56'), Aude (84'), Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereira (34'), Ferreira (86')
Thiago (29'), Pereira (44'), Silva (90+1')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Lanus win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Gremio
32.52%	24.09%	43.39%

Both teams to score 60.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73%

42.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32%

64.67%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77%

25.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02%

59.98%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31%

19.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31%

51.68%

Score Analysis

Lanus 32.52%

Gremio 43.39%

Draw 24.08%

Lanus	Draw	Gremio
2-1 @ 7.66% 1-0 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.39%