Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ltda win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Porto Velho had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ltda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Porto Velho win was 0-1 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.