Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 21, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
 
Nantes

3-5

Cozza (18' og.), Samoura (45' pen.), Soukouna (74')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Deuff (15'), El-Arabi (23'), Centonze (38'), Abline (51', 58')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Concarneau and Nantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Concarneau 3-5 Nantes
Sunday, December 21 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Concarneau 3-5 Nantes
Sunday, December 21 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
ConcarneauDrawNantes
44.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.18% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)29.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16% (0.094999999999999 0.09)52.83% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.082000000000001 0.08)74.45% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.081000000000003 0.08)23.51% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (0.118 0.12)57.55% (-0.117 -0.12)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.012 0.01)32.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Concarneau 44.75%
    Nantes 29.06%
    Draw 26.17%
ConcarneauDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.06%