CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 6
Saint Martin
Oct 6, 2026 9.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Bahamas
  • Yanis Montantin 12' yellowcard
  • Axel Raga Rigobert 15' goal
  • Pierre-Bertrand Arné 24' goal
  • Matteo Makhabe 38' goal
  • Jordan Alexandre 50' goal
  • Axel Raga Rigobert 77' goal
  • Axel Raga Rigobert 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard C. Rahming 22'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wells 49'

Saint Martin vs Bahamas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions

Bahamas

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 66.66%. A win for Bahamas had a probability of 17.2% and a draw had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Bahamas win was 1-2 (4.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%).

Result

Saint Martin 66.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 16.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Bahamas 17.2% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.35% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.66%
Under 1.5 16.34%
Over 2.5 65.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 34.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 33.33% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 66.67% ▼ (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Saint Martin 55.43% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 28.95% ▲ (+0.50)
Bahamas 15.61% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Saint Martin 69.51% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 4.22%
Bahamas 26.27% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 63.76% ▲ (+0.48)
Equal 8 8.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.34% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 54.19% ▲ (+0.42)
Equal 9 9.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 36.24% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 10.5 44.61% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 10.5 55.39% ▼ (-0.36)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 1.5 64.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 35.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 43.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 56.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 26.19% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 73.81% ▼ (-0.24)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5 46.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 53.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 93.34% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.98% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Saint Martin 66.67%
Draw 16.13%
Bahamas 17.19%
Saint Martin
2-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.88%
3-0 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 26.09% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 66.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 16.13%
Bahamas
1-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 17.19%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Bahamas
Sep 23, 2026 9.00pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT
Saint Martin
  • goal Axel Raga Rigobert 15'
  • goal Jordan Alexandre 20'
  • goal Yanis Montantin 23'
  • goal Jordan Alexandre 32'
  • goal M. Butler 41' (OG)
  • goal Axel Raga Rigobert 52'
  • goal Axel Raga Rigobert 63'
  • goal Pierre-Bertrand Arné 80'

Form Data

US Virgin Islands 0 - 5 Saint Martin
Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands
Bahamas 0 - 8 Saint Martin
Saint Martin 0 - 1 Belize
Saint Martin 4 - 1 Saint Kitts
Saint Martin 2 - 1 Anguilla
Bahamas 2 - 3 US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands 3 - 1 Bahamas
Bahamas 0 - 8 Saint Martin
Cayman Islands 1 - 0 Bahamas
Bahamas 1 - 3 Anguilla
Bahamas 0 - 6 British Virgin I.