CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2026 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Prince Cooper 36' yellowcard
  • W. Bayles 58' goal
  • P. Julmis 67' yellowcard
  • Re'John Ene 83' yellowcard
  • P. Julmis 90'+2' goal
  • goal Naqwan Henry 30'
  • goal Szabolcs Kovács 35' (OG)
  • redcard Rakeem Joseph 45'
  • goal Naqwan Henry 52'
  • yellowcard Quinn Farrell 57'

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions

US Virgin Islands

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 62.86%. A win for Bahamas has a probability of 21.51% and a draw has a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Bahamas win is 2-1 (4.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (5.84%).

Result

Bahamas 21.51% ▲ (+1.15)
Draw 15.62% ▲ (+0.19)
US Virgin Islands 62.86% ▼ (-1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.75% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.41% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 12.59% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 73.18% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 2.5 26.82% ▲ (+1.17)
Over 3.5 52.61% ▲ (+2.19)
Under 3.5 47.39% ▼ (-2.19)
Over 4.5 39.72% ▲ (+1.48)
Under 4.5 60.28% ▼ (-1.48)

First Half Winner

Bahamas 17.2% ▲ (+1.32)
Draw 33.1% ▼ (-1.98)
US Virgin Islands 49.7% ▲ (+0.67)

Team To Score First

Bahamas 30.7% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 3.37% ▼ (-0.38)
US Virgin Islands 65.93% ▲ (+0.62)

Corners

Over 8 62.57% ▼ (-8.93)
Equal 8 7.74% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 8 29.69% ▲ (+8.30)
Over 9 54.11% ▼ (-9.28)
Equal 9 8.46% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 9 37.43% ▲ (+8.93)
Over 10.5 45.45% ▼ (-9.19)
Under 10.5 54.55% ▲ (+9.19)

Bahamas Goals

Over 1.5 27.91% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 1.5 72.09% ▼ (-1.21)
Over 2.5 13.32% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 2.5 86.68% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 3.5 4.68% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 95.32% ▼ (-0.60)

US Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5 85.05% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 0.5 14.95% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 1.5 65.95% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 34.05% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 44.87% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 2.5 55.13% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 27.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.28% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Bahamas 21.51%
Draw 15.62%
US Virgin Islands 62.87%
Bahamas
2-1 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.97)
1-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.67)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.58)
2-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.68)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.82)
Other @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.56)
Total : 21.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.43)
0-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 15.62%
US Virgin Islands
1-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.68)
0-3 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.90)
0-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 27.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 62.87%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Sep 29, 2026 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jimson St Louis 14' goal
  • Quinn Farrell 36' yellowcard
  • Rakeem Joseph 45'+3' goal
  • Noah Armour 62' goal
  • yellowcard Happy Hall 5'
  • goal C. Rahming 68'
CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 13, 2024 1.00am
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Wildey Turf
  • Brandon Adderley 13' goal
  • Brandon Adderley 13' goal
  • Brandon Adderley 23' goal
  • Brandon Adderley 23' goal
  • Omari Bain 30' goal
  • Omari Bain 30' goal
  • yellowcard Jannick Liburd 34'
  • yellowcard Jannick Liburd 34'
  • goal Hasani Edgar 69'
  • goal Hasani Edgar 69'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 4, 2024 9.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Paul E. Joseph Stadium
  • Naqwan Henry 27' goal
  • Zahmyre Harris 34' yellowcard
  • Joshua Ramos 40' yellowcard
  • Rakeem Joseph 77' goal
  • Axel Bartsch 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Catone-Highfield 86' goal
  • goal Lesly St Fleur 2'
  • goal Peter Julmis 37'
  • goal Brandon Adderley 58'
  • yellowcard William Bayles 64'