CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
US Virgin Islands
Oct 1, 2026 9.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
Saint Martin
  • Axel Bartsch 58' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Raga Rigobert 44'
  • goal Rahim Denis 49'
  • goal Pierre-Bertrand Arné 83'
  • goal Pierre-Bertrand Arné 86'
  • goal Pierre-Bertrand Arné 89'

US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

US Virgin Islands

All competitions

Saint Martin

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 67.32%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 17.52% and a draw had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (6.82%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (4.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.04%).

Result

US Virgin Islands 17.52% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 15.13% ▲ (+0.37)
Saint Martin 67.32% ▼ (-0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34% ▼ (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.28% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 12.72% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 72.12% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 27.88% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 51.61% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 3.5 48.39% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 4.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 4.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.43)

First Half Winner

US Virgin Islands 15.82% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 27.35% ▲ (+0.68)
Saint Martin 56.83% ▼ (-0.38)

Team To Score First

US Virgin Islands 25.14% ▲ (+1.22)
No Goal 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Saint Martin 71.18% ▼ (-1.27)

Corners

Over 8 60.92% ▼ (-5.18)
Equal 8 7.92% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 8 31.16% ▲ (+4.52)
Over 9 52.35% ▼ (-5.63)
Equal 9 8.57% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 9 39.08% ▲ (+5.18)
Over 10.5 43.68% ▼ (-5.75)
Under 10.5 56.32% ▲ (+5.75)

US Virgin Islands Goals

Over 1.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 1.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 7.41% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 92.59% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 1.95% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 98.05% ▼ (-0.29)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5 86.1% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 13.9% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 67.98% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 32.02% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 50.05% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 2.5 49.95% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 35.31% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 64.69% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

US Virgin Islands 17.52%
Draw 15.13%
Saint Martin 67.32%
US Virgin Islands
2-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.34)
1-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.20)
2-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 17.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.13%
Saint Martin
1-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.29)
0-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.78)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 35.3% ▼ (-0.28)
Total : 67.32%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Saint Martin
Sep 26, 2026 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
US Virgin Islands
  • Malik Denis 44' yellowcard
  • Belony Dumas 58' yellowcard
  • goal Jannick Liburd 18'
  • yellowcard Jett Blaschka 34'
  • goal Jannick Liburd 83'

Form Data

US Virgin Islands 3 - 1 Bahamas
Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands 5 - 2 American Samoa
Grenada 4 - 1 US Virgin Islands
Bahamas 3 - 1 US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands 0 - 5 Barbados
Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands
Bahamas 0 - 8 Saint Martin
Saint Martin 0 - 1 Belize
Saint Martin 4 - 1 Saint Kitts
Saint Martin 2 - 1 Anguilla
Grenada 0 - 3 Saint Martin