CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 8.00pm

Bonaire vs Cuba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bonaire

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Bonaire 1 - 2 Saint Kitts

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 10.00pm
Grenada 0 - 3 Cuba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cuba win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw has a probability of 20.6% and a win for Bonaire has a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Bonaire win it is 1-0 (5.43%).

Result

Bonaire 18.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 20.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Cuba 60.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 65.67% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Bonaire 13.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 35.17% ▲ (+0.15)
Cuba 51.6% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Bonaire 26.04% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 5.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Cuba 68.04% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 41.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 47.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 32.1% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 9.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 58.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 23.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.18)

Bonaire Goals

Over 1.5 21.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.83%
Under 3.5 98.17%

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5 83.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 16.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 56.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 43.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 31.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 84.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bonaire 18.41%
Draw 20.6%
Cuba 60.96%
Bonaire
1-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 18.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 20.6%
Cuba
0-1 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-3 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 60.96%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Y. Matos 3' goal
  • Marcos Campos 17' yellowcard
  • Diego Catasus 49' goal
  • yellowcard Marshelon Pourier 15'
  • yellowcard Shedwin Martina 59'
  • yellowcard Rayginio Martina 86'