CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 10.00pm
Hasely Crawford Stadium

Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 10.00pm
Grenada 0 - 3 Cuba

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00am
Bonaire 1 - 2 Saint Kitts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cuba win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis has a probability of 24.05% and a draw has a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win is 1-2 (5.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).

Result

Cuba 54.69%
Draw 21.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 24.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 18.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 61.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 38.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 40.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 59.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 27.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 72.51% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cuba 49.82%
Draw 34.28%
Saint Kitts and Nevis 15.9%

Team To Score First

Cuba 68.03% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 26.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.98%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 39.89%
Over 9 38.37%
Equal 9 10.61%
Under 9 51.02%
Over 10.5 29.01%
Under 10.5 70.99%

Cuba Goals

Over 1.5 55.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 44.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 33.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 66.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 17.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 82.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 57.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 42.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 71.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Cuba 54.69%
Draw 21.23%
Saint Kitts and Nevis 24.05%
Cuba
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 16.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 54.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.23%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.05%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Hasely Crawford Stadium
  • K. Kelly 26' goal
  • Luca Crolla 73' yellowcard
  • Rico Browne 76' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Simpson 82' goal
  • T. Williams 88' goal
  • K. Kelly 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Y. Pérez 29'
  • goal Diego Catasus 38'
  • goal Y. Pérez 51'
  • yellowcard Dairon Reyes 86'