Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belize win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belize win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Turks and Caicos win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belize would win this match.