CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 5
Oct 5, 2026 12.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carlito Fermina 7' goal
  • Bradley Martis 53' yellowcard
  • Alljereau Mercera 90'+3' goal
  • goal Nathaniel Owen 39'
  • yellowcard Antonio Fleming 51'
  • yellowcard Kayne Connor 69'
  • goal Antonio Fleming 77'
  • yellowcard Carlton Carty 88'

Aruba vs Anguilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions

Anguilla

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aruba win with a probability of 58.23%. A win for Anguilla has a probability of 21.58% and a draw has a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aruba win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Anguilla win is 1-2 (5.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.63%).

Result

Aruba 58.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 20.16% ▼ (-0.79)
Anguilla 21.58% ▲ (+0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.98% ▲ (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.09% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 17.91% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 62.34% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 2.5 37.66% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 3.5 41.12% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 58.88% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 4.5 27.07% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 72.93% ▼ (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Aruba 52.11% ▲ (+1.64)
Draw 34.48% ▼ (-1.23)
Anguilla 13.42% ▼ (-0.41)

Team To Score First

Aruba 69.33% ▲ (+2.88)
No Goal 4.65% ▼ (-0.62)
Anguilla 26.02% ▼ (-2.25)

Corners

Over 8 44.69% ▲ (+3.67)
Equal 8 12.05% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 8 43.26% ▼ (-4.27)
Over 9 33.62% ▲ (+2.84)
Equal 9 11.07% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 9 55.31% ▼ (-3.67)
Over 10.5 24.26% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 10.5 75.74% ▼ (-1.97)

Aruba Goals

Over 1.5 58.55% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 41.45% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 33.9% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 66.1% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 16.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 83.24% ▼ (-0.07)

Anguilla Goals

Over 0.5 56.78% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 0.5 43.22% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 1.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 2.5 10.27% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 89.73% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aruba 58.24%
Draw 20.15%
Anguilla 21.6%
Aruba
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.39)
3-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 16.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 58.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.44)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.62)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.15%
Anguilla
1-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.6%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Sep 30, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Deans 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Bennett 50'
  • goal Rovien Ostiana 53'
  • goal Justin Figaroa 88'