Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anguilla win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anguilla win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%).