CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Sep 30, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Deans 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Bennett 50'
  • goal Rovien Ostiana 53'
  • goal Justin Figaroa 88'

Anguilla vs Aruba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Anguilla

All competitions

Aruba

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aruba win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 2-1 (5.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Anguilla 22.47% ▲ (+4.88)
Draw 20.76% ▲ (+2.50)
Aruba 56.76% ▼ (-7.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.67% ▲ (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.02% ▼ (-2.25)
Under 1.5 20.98% ▲ (+2.25)
Over 2.5 57.69% ▼ (-3.97)
Under 2.5 42.31% ▲ (+3.97)
Over 3.5 36.18% ▼ (-4.07)
Under 3.5 63.82% ▲ (+4.07)
Over 4.5 23.59% ▼ (-4.20)
Under 4.5 76.41% ▲ (+4.21)

First Half Winner

Anguilla 19.69%
Draw 36.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Aruba 43.96% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Anguilla 28.22% ▼ (-0.14)
No Goal 5.67% ▲ (+0.63)
Aruba 66.11% ▼ (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 53.84% ▼ (-0.30)
Equal 8 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 36.74% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 9 44.33% ▼ (-0.32)
Equal 9 9.51%
Under 9 46.16% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 10.5 35.43% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 64.57% ▲ (+0.29)

Anguilla Goals

Over 1.5 26.4% ▲ (+3.29)
Under 1.5 73.6% ▼ (-3.30)
Over 2.5 10.5% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 2.5 89.5% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.47% ▼ (-0.05)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5 81.58% ▼ (-3.91)
Under 0.5 18.42% ▲ (+3.91)
Over 1.5 54.69% ▼ (-6.96)
Under 1.5 45.31% ▲ (+6.96)
Over 2.5 29.64% ▼ (-6.25)
Under 2.5 70.36% ▲ (+6.25)
Over 3.5 13.91% ▼ (-4.09)
Under 3.5 86.09% ▲ (+4.10)

Score analysis

Anguilla 22.47%
Draw 20.77%
Aruba 56.78%
Anguilla
2-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+1.08)
1-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+1.64)
2-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+1.22)
3-1 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 2% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 22.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+1.59)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.46)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 20.77%
Aruba
0-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.36% ▼ (-1.08)
1-2 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.70)
0-3 @ 5.64% ▼ (-1.13)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 13.65% ▼ (-4.03)
Total : 56.78%