Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.