Women's Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 28, 2026 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ellie Madison Carpenter 51' goal
  • Kadeisha Buchanan 89' goal

Chelsea Women vs Roma Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 8.00pm
Lyon 0 - 0 Chelsea

Roma Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 5.45pm
Roma 0 - 6 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.42% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%) , while for a Roma Women win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea Women 56.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 22.42%
Roma Women 21.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 57.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.74%
Under 3.5 65.26%
Over 4.5 21.88%
Under 4.5 78.12%

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 38.27%
Draw 35.28%
Roma Women 26.46%

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 56.36%
No Goal 5.19%
Roma Women 38.45%

Corners

Over 8 59.29%
Equal 8 10.02%
Under 8 30.69%
Over 9 48.92%
Equal 9 10.37%
Under 9 40.71%
Over 10.5 38.97%
Under 10.5 61.03%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 54.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 28.87%
Under 2.5 71.13%
Over 3.5 12.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5 57.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 42.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.04%
Under 3.5 96.96%

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 56.19%
Draw 22.43%
Roma Women 21.38%
Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 12.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.19%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.43%
Roma Women
1-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 21.38%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Valentina Bergamaschi 13' goal
  • Wieke Kaptein 26' goal
  • Johanna Rytting-Kaneryd 44' goal
  • Sjoeke Nusken 51' goal
  • Maika Hamano 76' goal
  • Lucy Bronze 86' goal