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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 41.08% | 26.92% | 32% |
| Both teams to score 50.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% | 54.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% | 75.97% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.26% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% | 31.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32% |