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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Swansea City |
| 29.53% | 27.46% | 43% |
| Both teams to score 47.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.7% | 78.29% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% | 34.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% | 71.7% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% | 26.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% | 61.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.05% Total : 43% |