Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2021 at 6.30pm UK

Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
2 - 1
Genk

(Shakhtar Donetsk win 4-2 on aggregate)

Traore (27'), Antonio (76')
Sudakov (42'), Trubin (71'), Vitao (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dessers (90')
Lucumi (45+2'), Munoz (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Genk
44.29%	24.85%	30.86%

Both teams to score 56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61%

46.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33%

68.67%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71%

28.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99%

64.01%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 44.29%

Genk 30.86%

Draw 24.84%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Genk
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.29%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.86%