Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 3, 2021 at 7pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
1 - 2
Shakhtar

(Shakhtar Donetsk win 4-2 on aggregate)

Onuachu (39')
Munoz (62'), Thorstvedt (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tete (63' pen.), Patrick (81')
Pedrinho (50'), Santos (66'), Maycon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Genk and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
44.07%	25.35%	30.58%

Both teams to score 54.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28%

48.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17%

70.82%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92%

22.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57%

55.42%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3%

65.69%

Score Analysis

Genk 44.07%

Shakhtar Donetsk 30.58%

Draw 25.35%

Genk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.07%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Genk vs Shakhtar

Genk

16.3%

Draw

13.0%

Shakhtar Donetsk

70.7%