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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Apr 6, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Western Sydney
2 - 2
Central Coast

Kamau (74', 78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simon (22'), Bozanic (83' pen.)
Tongyik (27')

Preview: Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Central Coast Mariners - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Central Coast Mariners head into Tuesday's fixture versus Western Sydney Wanderers with the opportunity to extend their lead at the top of the A-League standings.

However, the Wanderers, sitting in fifth position, will move to within three points of the pacesetters with victory at the Bankwest Stadium.


Match preview

Carl Robinson, now in charge of Western Sydney Wanderers, pictured in 2017© Reuters

On the back of last season's ninth-placed finish, everyone associated with Western Sydney will be satisfied with being in close proximity to the top four.

However, Carl Robinson's side would have been higher in the table had they not gone two matches without success, their most recent game ending in a 1-1 draw with Brisbane Roar.

With that result following a heavy defeat at Melbourne City, Robinson may feel that his group of players are back on track ahead of sensing an opportunity to move into second spot.

Wanderers have scored 10 goals in their last five fixtures, the majority of the strikes coming from Jordan Mutch, Kwame Yeboah and Mitchell Duke.

In the case of Yeboah, he has still only made three starts this campaign, but that could soon change if he continues to produce at his current strike-rate.

The Mariners' have failed to build on their early season form with the leaders claiming just five points from their last four encounters.

Nevertheless, Thursday's comeback victory over Adelaide United has kept the club in top spot, maintaining a three-point lead over in-form Macarthur.

Alou Kuol scored the decisive goal in that contest for his seventh goal of the season, ending a barren spell which had lasted since February 19.

However, the Mariners' backline has kept just one clean sheet in seven matches, something which must improve if they are to retain their advantage over the chasing pack.

Western Sydney Wanderers Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Central Coast Mariners Australian A-League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Alen Stajcic, now in charge of Central Coast Mariners, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Given the three-day turnaround, Robinson will consider making changes to his Wanderers starting lineup.

However, the front three were all substituted in the 64th minute against Brisbane, something which may have been pre-planned to allow them to start this fixture.

Nicolai Muller, Simon Cox and Bernie Ibini-Isei are the most likely alternatives if Robinson tinkers with his attack.

While the Mariners will have had two extra days to prepare for this meeting, Stajcic is expected to make at least one alternation.

Kuol is in line to replace either Matt Simon or Marco Urena in the final third after scoring as a substitute against Adelaide.

Western Sydney Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Margush; Gordon, McGowan, Mourdoukoutas; Aquilina, Baccus, Dorrans, Wilmering; Duke, Kamau, Yeboah

Central Coast Mariners possible starting lineup:
Birighitti; Nigro, Tongyik, Rowles, Clisby; Boumann, Bozanic, Stensness, Da Silva; Kuol, Urena


SM words green background

We say: Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Central Coast Mariners

Neither side have been in the best form of late, and we feel that could lead to a nervy affair being played out at the Bankwest Stadium. Both teams will be relatively content with a share of the spoils, leading us to predict a low-scoring stalemate.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Central Coast

Western Sydney Wanderers
24.2%
Draw
30.3%
Central Coast Mariners
45.5%
33
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