Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Z'dežele
  • Artemijus Tutyškinas 32' yellowcard
  • Pijus Širvys 43' yellowcard
  • Blaz Kramer 50' goal
  • Armandas Kučys 90' goal
  • goal Sota Kitano 9'
  • yellowcard Damir Redzic 35'
  • goal Jesper Lindstrøm 46'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Mazurek 90'+2'

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.97%. A win for Celje had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest Celje win was 2-1 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Celje 22.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 21.13%
Red Bull Salzburg 55.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 57.57%
Under 2.5 42.43%
Over 3.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.68% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Celje 20.81%
Draw 32.59%
Red Bull Salzburg 46.6%

Team To Score First

Celje 34.09%
No Goal 5.29%
Red Bull Salzburg 60.62%

Corners

Over 8 56.34%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 32.51%
Over 9 45.12%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 43.66%
Over 10.5 34.7%
Under 10.5 65.3%

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 27.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 81.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 54.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 28.41%
Under 2.5 71.59%
Over 3.5 11.93%
Under 3.5 88.07%

Score analysis

Celje 22.86%
Draw 21.13%
Red Bull Salzburg 55.97%
Celje
2-1 @ 5.89%
1-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 5.29%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.13%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.78%
Total : 55.97%