EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Yousef Salech 29' goal
  • Yousef Salech 43' goal
  • Jack Moylan 77' goal
  • Joel Colwill 82' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Osho 9' (OG)
  • goal Paul Glatzel 62'
  • yellowcard James Debayo 84'
  • redcard James Debayo 90'

Cardiff City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Swindon Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 53.19% (-0.42)
Draw 21.66% (-0.36)
Swindon Town 25.15% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.28% (+2.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.69% (+1.57)
Under 1.5 15.31% (-1.57)
Over 2.5 65.96% (+2.51)
Under 2.5 34.04% (-2.51)
Over 3.5 43.84% (+2.77)
Under 3.5 56.16% (-2.77)
Over 4.5 28.61% (+2.18)
Under 4.5 71.39% (-2.18)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 41.76% (-0.14)
Draw 37.68% (-0.33)
Swindon Town 20.56% (+0.46)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 63.15% (+0.84)
No Goal 3.88% (-0.70)
Swindon Town 32.97% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 64.79% (+1.99)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.16)
Under 8 24.8% (-1.83)
Over 9 53.57% (+1.97)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.04)
Under 9 35.21% (-1.98)
Over 10.5 42.48% (+1.78)
Under 10.5 57.52% (-1.78)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 57.56% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 42.44% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 32.29% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 67.71% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 14.82% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 85.18% (-0.66)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.96% (+1.44)
Under 0.5 37.04% (-1.44)
Over 1.5 33.97% (+2.19)
Under 1.5 66.03% (-2.19)
Over 2.5 14% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 86% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 5.3% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 94.7% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 53.18%
Draw 21.65%
Swindon Town 25.14%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 6.13% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 4.5% (+0.45)
Other @ 14.38% (+0.55)
Total : 53.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.70)
3-3 @ 1.9% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.44% (+0.12)
Total : 21.65%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.86% (+0.73)
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Tyrese Shade 73' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 87' goal
  • goal Max Watters 14'
  • goal Andy Rinomhota 17'
  • goal Ryan Wintle 44'
  • goal Sheyi Ojo 76'