EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu 29' goal
  • Gassan Ahadme 62' goal
  • Kell Watts 73' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Warhurst 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Powell 72'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 82'

Cambridge United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 4 Cambridge

Northampton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.00pm
Northampton 0 - 3 Brighton U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Cambridge United 50.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Northampton Town 25.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.78% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.68% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Cambridge United 34.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Northampton Town 23.11%

Team To Score First

Cambridge United 54.72% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.53%
Northampton Town 37.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.61% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 33.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 44.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 33.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 66.09% ▼ (-0.07)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 1.5 44.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 41.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 50.08%
Draw 24.23%
Northampton Town 25.69%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 7.6%
Total : 50.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.53%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.23%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.69%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abbey Stadium
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 8, 2025 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • James Brophy 52' goal
  • Ben Stevenson 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Stokes 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Hoskins 26'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • yellowcard Shayne Lavery 75'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Paul Digby 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guthrie 82'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 82'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Shaun McWilliams 42' yellowcard
  • Kieron Bowie 49' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 55' goal
  • yellowcard James Brophy 39'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 79'
  • redcard Paul Digby 80'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 90'