FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Suit Direct Stadium
  • goal Jack Doyle 71'
  • goal James Potter 77'

Hartlepool United vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Marine AFC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Hartlepool United 38.84% ▼ (-1.18)
Draw 23.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Marine AFC 37.51% ▲ (+1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.13% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 26.87% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 49.21% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 50.74% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 27.73% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 16.16% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 4.5 83.84% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 28.55% ▼ (-1.85)
Draw 43.06% ▲ (+1.10)
Marine AFC 28.38% ▲ (+0.75)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 46.74% ▼ (-2.80)
No Goal 6.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Marine AFC 46.31% ▲ (+2.71)

Corners

Over 8 57.14% ▲ (+0.64)
Equal 8 11.54% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 8 31.32% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 9 45.44% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 9 42.86% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 10.5 34.55% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 65.45% ▲ (+0.08)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 36.4% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 63.6% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 5.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.84% ▲ (+0.04)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 68.58% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 0.5 31.42% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 1.5 35.79% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 64.21% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 14.49% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 85.51% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 38.85%
Draw 23.65%
Marine AFC 37.51%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.53)
2-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.36)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.65%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.60)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 37.51%