National League Gameweek 9
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Kidderminster 2 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Corey McKeown

Worthing

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
Worthing 0 - 1 Barrow
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Razzaq Coleman De-Graft

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Worthing win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 31.64% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 2-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

Hartlepool United 31.64%
Draw 23.08%
Worthing 45.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.41%
Under 1.5 19.59%
Over 2.5 59.65%
Under 2.5 40.35%
Over 3.5 36.77%
Under 3.5 63.23%
Over 4.5 22.67%
Under 4.5 77.33%

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 28%
Draw 38.71%
Worthing 33.29%

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 45.1%
No Goal 5.26%
Worthing 49.64%

Corners

Over 8 59.14%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 29.09%
Over 9 47%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 40.86%
Over 10.5 35.56%
Under 10.5 64.44%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 35.93%
Under 1.5 64.07%
Over 2.5 15.03%
Under 2.5 84.97%
Over 3.5 4.74%
Under 3.5 95.26%

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 77.21%
Under 0.5 22.79%
Over 1.5 47.77%
Under 1.5 52.23%
Over 2.5 23.91%
Under 2.5 76.09%
Over 3.5 10.49%
Under 3.5 89.51%

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 31.64%
Draw 23.08%
Worthing 45.29%
Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 7.69%
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.4%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 31.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.08%
Worthing
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 4.87%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.12%
Other @ 10.32%
Total : 45.29%