National League Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2026 7.45pm
The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Woking 0 - 0 Altrincham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Tom Crawford

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Kidderminster 2 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Corey McKeown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 30.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Altrincham win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

Altrincham 44.37% ▲ (+3.87)
Draw 24.89% ▲ (+0.20)
Hartlepool United 30.74% ▼ (-4.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.08% ▼ (-1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 22.48% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54.31% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 45.69% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 30.91% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 69.09% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 17.65% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.35% ▲ (+0.17)

First Half Winner

Altrincham 34.98% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 37.7% ▲ (+0.35)
Hartlepool United 27.32% ▼ (-2.25)

Team To Score First

Altrincham 52.13% ▲ (+3.00)
No Goal 6.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Hartlepool United 41.69% ▼ (-3.10)

Corners

Over 8 63.64% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 25.11% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 9 51.59% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 9 12.05% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 36.36% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 10.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 60.15% ▲ (+0.16)

Altrincham Goals

Over 1.5 44.63% ▲ (+3.00)
Under 1.5 55.37% ▼ (-3.00)
Over 2.5 19.61% ▲ (+1.99)
Under 2.5 80.39% ▼ (-1.99)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▼ (-0.92)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 67.01% ▼ (-2.91)
Under 0.5 32.99% ▲ (+2.92)
Over 1.5 33.9% ▼ (-3.36)
Under 1.5 66.1% ▲ (+3.35)
Over 2.5 13.03% ▼ (-2.14)
Under 2.5 86.97% ▲ (+2.13)
Over 3.5 4.12% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 3.5 95.88% ▲ (+0.86)

Score analysis

Altrincham 44.36%
Draw 24.89%
Hartlepool United 30.74%
Altrincham
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.53)
1-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.57)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.84)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.42)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.49)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.91)
Total : 44.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.89%
Hartlepool United
1-2 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.66)
0-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.69)
1-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.49)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.37)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.46)
Other @ 4% ▼ (-0.88)
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Suit Direct Stadium
  • Sam Folarin 73' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 73' yellowcard
  • Alex Reid 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Kosylo 59'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 75'
  • yellowcard Isaac Marriott 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Weaver 88'
  • yellowcard Liam Humbles 88'
National League
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
LIVE
National League Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Sam Folarin 41' yellowcard
  • Greg Sloggett 48' yellowcard
  • Jamie Miley 53' yellowcard
  • Nicky Featherstone 90'+7' goal
  • goal Regan Linney 87'
  • goal Lucas Weaver 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Caleb Ansen 90'+7'
National League Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The J. Davidson Stadium
  • Lewis Banks 29' goal
  • Edward Jones 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Sheron 5'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 23'
  • yellowcard Daniel Dodds 64'
National League Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Tom Crawford 41' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 49' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 53' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 61' yellowcard
  • David Ferguson 69' goal
  • Callum Cooke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Kosylo 33'
  • yellowcard Jake Southern-Cooper 60'
  • yellowcard Elliot Osborne 80'
  • goal Dior Angus 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 10
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The J. Davidson Stadium
  • Isaac Marriott 23' goal
  • Lewis Baines 45'+3' goal
  • Isaac Marriott 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Elliot Osborne 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Wallace 8'
  • goal Oliver Finney 15'
  • yellowcard Kieran Burton 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tom Crawford 64'
  • yellowcard Josh Umerah 72'
  • goal Joe Grey 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 85'