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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
| 35.19% | 27.07% | 37.74% |
| Both teams to score 50.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.31% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.02% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% | 65.64% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% | 28.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% | 63.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.73% |