Brasileiro | Gameweek 30

Oct 21, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude
3 - 5
Palmeiras

Boza (34', 34'), Ronaldo (49', 49'), Guilherme Mendes dos Santos (67', 67')
Carlos (90+3'), Carlos (90+4'), Carlos (90+3'), Carlos (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Willian (21', 21'), Veiga (44', 44', 50', 50', 90', 90'), Rios (63', 63')
Rocha (30'), Rocha (30'), Moreno (51'), Moreno (51'), Gomez (71'), Gomez (71'), Rios (72'), Rios (72'), Mayke (73'), Mayke (73'), Jadson (77'), Jadson (77')

Reaction

Palmeiras winger Estevao Willian in September 2024.

Chelsea-bound 'Messinho' breaks Neymar goalscoring record in Palmeiras victory

Soon-to-be Chelsea attacker Estevao Willian breaks a Brazilian goalscoring record set by Neymar in Palmeiras' recent win over Juventude.

Oct 21, 15:01

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, October 6 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Palmeiras

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Palmeiras
21.3% ( -5.46)	25.43% ( -0.01)	53.27% ( 5.48)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

-5.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31% (

-4.51)

55.69% (

4.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.16% (

-3.81)

76.84% (

3.81)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-7.49)

41.25% (

7.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

-7.36)

77.78% (

7.36)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.5)

20.94% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

0.77)

53.67% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Juventude 21.3%

Palmeiras 53.25%

Draw 25.42%

Juventude	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 5.3% ( -1.28) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.88) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.82) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.61) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.55) Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.3%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 1.4) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.92) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 13.5% ( 2.36) 0-2 @ 10.55% ( 1.97) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 1.1) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.45) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.25%