Flamengo

2 - 1

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.