Botafogo

1 - 2

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.