Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.