Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gent had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Gent
67.13% ( 0.72)	19.56% ( -0.33)	13.3% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.22% (

0.54)

44.78% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86% (

0.52)

67.14% (

-0.52)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

0.36)

12.38% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75% (

0.76)

38.25% (

-0.76)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.22% (

-0.27)

44.78% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.24% (

-0.22)

80.75% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Union SG 67.12%

Gent 13.3%

Draw 19.56%

Union SG	Draw	Gent
2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 67.12%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.3%