Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gent had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.