Belgian Pro League Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2026 6.15pm
Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Lommel United 0 - 0 Mechelen
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Myron van Brederode

Sint-Truiden

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 3.00pm
Sint-Truiden 0 - 2 Westerlo
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Samed Bazdar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Mechelen has a probability of 26.31% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mechelen win is 2-1 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Mechelen 26.31% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 25.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Sint-Truiden 48.61% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 21.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 55.37% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.63% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 32.26% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 67.74% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 4.5 18.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.2% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Mechelen 25.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 39.54% ▲ (+0.12)
Sint-Truiden 35.34% ▼ (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Mechelen 41.47% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Sint-Truiden 52.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 25.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 51.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 40.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Mechelen Goals

Over 1.5 30.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 69.45% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 10.83% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 89.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 3.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.87% ▼ (-0.07)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5 79.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 9.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Mechelen 26.31%
Draw 25.09%
Sint-Truiden 48.61%
Mechelen
2-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.09%
Sint-Truiden
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.38%
Total : 48.61%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 24, 2026 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stayen Stadion
  • Arbnor Muja 24' goal
  • Taiga Hata 45'+3' goal
  • Ryan Merlen 71' goal
  • Kaito Matsuzawa 80' yellowcard
  • Kaito Matsuzawa 81' yellowcard
  • Oumar Diouf 81' yellowcard
  • Shion Shinkawa 85' yellowcard
  • Wolke Janssens 85' yellowcard
  • Jo Coppens 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damir Milanovic 46'
  • yellowcard Bill Antonio 63'
  • yellowcard Keano Vanrafelghem 74'
  • yellowcard Maksim Kireev 79'
  • yellowcard Mory Konaté 79'
Belgian Pro League
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Bouke Boersma 26' goal
  • Damir Milanovic 73' yellowcard
  • Keano Vanrafelghem 73' yellowcard
  • Bilal Bafdili 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joedrick Pupe 44'
  • yellowcard Ryan Merlen 46'
  • goal Ryan Merlen 49'
  • goal Ilias Sebaoui 63'
  • yellowcard Simen Juklerød 73'
  • goal Ryotaro Ito 75'
  • yellowcard Shion Shinkawa 83'
  • yellowcard Loïc Mbe Soh 84'
  • yellowcard Wolke Janssens 88'
Belgian Pro League
Dec 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rein Van Helden 8' goal
  • Andres Ferrari 86' yellowcard
  • Robert-Jan Vanwesemael 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mory Konate 25'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Hammar 90'+1'
Belgian Pro League
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 27
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Wolke Janssens 26' goal
  • Kerim Mrabti 68' yellowcard
  • Julien Ngoy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Loic Lapoussin 36'
  • yellowcard Didier Lamkel Ze 39'
  • goal Andres Ferrari 90'+1'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Stayen
  • Aziz Outtara 2' goal
  • Andres Ferrari 54' goal
  • Louis Patris 83' yellowcard
  • Leo Brian Kokubo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toon Raemaekers 23'
  • goal Benito Raman 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Marsa 77'