Mechelen

2 - 1

Mouscron

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mechelen in this match.