Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.