Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.