Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 46.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.