Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.