Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.