Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.16%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 1-0 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.