Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.