World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 8, 2024 at 10.30pm UK

FIFA Technical Centre Butwal

Bahamas
1 - 7
Trin. & Tob.

Julmis (87')
Bartova Cartwright (12')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Shaw (6', 66'), Jones (14' pen.), Muckette (43', 45'), Moore (56'), James (84')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Bahamas and Trinidad and Tobago.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions

Last Game: Puerto Rico 6-1 Bahamas
Wednesday, November 22 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Bahamas win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.

Result
Bahamas	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
15.14% ( 0.08)	19.04% ( 0.57)	65.82% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.74% (

-2.61)

38.26% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.46% (

-2.83)

60.54% (

2.83)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.93% (

-1.55)

38.07% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16% (

-1.53)

74.83% (

1.53)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.15% (

-0.89)

10.85% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.06% (

-2.02)

34.94% (

2.02)

Score Analysis

Bahamas 15.14%

Trinidad and Tobago 65.82%

Draw 19.04%

Bahamas	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
2-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.14%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.04%	0-2 @ 10.18% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.79) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.2) Other @ 4.43% Total : 65.82%