Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grazer AK win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grazer AK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.