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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Osasuna

Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Jagoba Arrasate's 11th-placed Osasuna side will make the short trip to the Basque Country this weekend for their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao at San Memes.

In typical mid-table fashion, a win for either of these sides will not alter their respective league positions in any way, but bragging rights are up for grabs and neither Arrasate nor Marcelino will likely entertain the prospect of losing for very long.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao's Inigo Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on April 25, 2021© Reuters

After a vast improvement in form under the stewardship of Marcelino, Athletic's campaign appears to have plateaued in recent weeks, with the spectre of mid-table mediocrity looming over their run-in.

Marcelino's men have gone unbeaten in eight matches, but they have only won two during that time, picking up 12 points in the process.

Against Sevilla last time out, Athletic pulled off the spectacular and beat Julen Lopetegui's high-flying Andalusians 1-0, with Inaki Williams scoring the only goal of the game in the 90th minute.

While victory will not do wonders for Athletic this weekend, a win could bring them three points closer to the distant dream of European qualification.

Osasuna head coach Jagoba Arrasate pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

After a horrible start to the campaign, Arrasate's Osasuna side have managed to turn things around in spectacular fashion, with a string of positive results.

Osasuna have won three of their last eight games, losing just two in the process and picking up 12 points.

Last time out against Real Madrid, Osasuna were beaten 2-0, with Eder Militao and Casemiro picking up the vital goals in the second half.

Arrasate's men have been good on their travels this season, with the team picking up 17 points in total on the road.

Three points for Osasuna could see the Pamplona-based side come within a point of 10th-placed Celta Vigo.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Athletic Bilbao coach Marcelino reacts on April 3, 2021© Reuters

Athletic are in the midst of an injury crisis at the moment, with a host of first-team regulars unavailable for this tie.

Marcelino will be without Raul Garcia, Inigo Martinez, Dani Garcia, Ander Capa, Yuri Berchiche and skipper Iker Muniain.

For Osasuna, fan favourite Chimy Avila looks to be getting back to match fitness, but he is yet to complete 90 minutes this season.

Defender Oier is suspended for this tie and Jonathan Calleri is out injured.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Nunez, Alvarez, Balenziaga; Alex Berenguer, Vencedor, Vesga, Morcillo; Villalibre, Williams

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Nacho Vidal, Aridane, D Garcia, Sanchez; Torres, Moncayola, Lucas Torro, Martinez, R Garcia; Avila


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna

While this game will influence final league positions, it is in many respects a dead rubber and that is likely to be reflected in how the players go about their business on Saturday. Both teams are also very compact defensive units and a draw is a likely outcome.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Francis Buchanan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
65.5%
Draw
27.3%
Osasuna
7.3%
55
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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