Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Oct 31, 2026 10.15pm
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 12.00am
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Manuel Lanzini

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 11.15pm
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Rodrigo Auzmendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw has a probability of 27.19% and a win for San Lorenzo has a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it is 0-1 (7.72%).

Result

Velez Sarsfield 53.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 27.19% ▼ (-0.08)
San Lorenzo 19.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 34.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 61.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.57% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 34.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 48.58% ▼ (-0.06)
San Lorenzo 16.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 59.05% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 11.17% ▼ (-0.05)
San Lorenzo 29.78%

Corners

Over 8 51.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 36.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 39.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 48.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 29.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 42.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▼ (-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 49.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 50.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 53.77%
Draw 27.19%
San Lorenzo 19.04%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 16.06%
2-0 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 53.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.19%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.04%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • Luciano Vietto 64' yellowcard
  • Francisco Perruzzi 64' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Barrios 74' yellowcard
  • Agustín Ladstatter 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Herazo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aarón Quirós 71'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 79'
  • yellowcard Dilan Godoy 79'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 7, 2025 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Aaron Quiroz 37' yellowcard
  • Christian Ordonez 59' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elian Irala 21'
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Andres Vombergar 60'
  • yellowcard Jaime Andres Peralta Gonzalez 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Sep 14, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 22' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Bustos 56' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 4'
  • yellowcard Thiago Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 66'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Garcia 69'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Apr 29, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nestor Ortigoza 90'+11' goal