Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.