Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 43.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.