Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2026 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Monumental
  • Facundo Suárez 7' goal
  • Matías Gallardo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matías Tissera 90'+3' goal
  • goal Walter Núñez 66'
  • goal Walter Mazzantti 79'

Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 12.30am
Estudiantes 3 - 3 Instituto

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
Newell's OB 1 - 1 Union

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.79% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Instituto 51.83% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 26.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Newell's Old Boys 21.37% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 33.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 40.73% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 59.27% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 20.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.56% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Instituto 34.73% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 50.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Newell's Old Boys 14.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Instituto 59.56% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 10.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Newell's Old Boys 30.3% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.75% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 33.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 41.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 46.25% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 30% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 70% ▲ (+0.08)

Instituto Goals

Over 1.5 41.9% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 58.1% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 17.21% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 82.79% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 5.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.34% ▲ (+0.05)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5 53.61% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 46.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 19.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 80.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 5.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 94.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Instituto 51.84%
Draw 26.8%
Newell's Old Boys 21.36%
Instituto
1-0 @ 15.52% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 51.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.8%
Newell's Old Boys
0-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 21.36%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Apr 26, 2026 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
  • Fabián Noguera 7' yellowcard
  • Jerónimo Gómez Mattar 64' yellowcard
  • F. Scarpeccio 64' yellowcard
  • Luciano Herrera 64' yellowcard
  • Luciano Herrera 65' yellowcard
  • F. Scarpeccio 65' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Ramírez 80' goal
  • Ignacio Ramírez 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremías Lázaro 60'
  • yellowcard Matías Tissera 60'
  • goal Saúl Salcedo 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Méndez 81'
  • yellowcard Matías Fonseca 81'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Méndez 82'
  • yellowcard Matías Fonseca 82'
  • yellowcard Matías Fonseca 85'
  • yellowcard Juan Ignacio Méndez 85'
  • yellowcard Jonás Acevedo 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 1.15am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Leonel Vangioni 79' yellowcard
  • Leonel Vangioni 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Franco Diaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Franco Diaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gaston Lodico 8'
  • goal Gaston Lodico 8'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 45'
  • goal Ignacio Russo 57'
  • goal Ignacio Russo 57'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 27, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Santiago Alejandro Rodriguez 21' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 21' goal
  • Emmanuel Martinez 41' goal
  • Gaston Lodico 60' goal
  • goal Bruno Pitton 63'